Chapter 4
Decision Making
Intuition is a secret superpower when honed by experience.
— Laura Huang
Think probabilistically
Rather than yes/no answers, assign confidence levels to your predictions (e.g. this has a 70 % chance).
It aligns thinking with reality.
Learn from feedback fast
Once an action unfolds, review what worked and what failed.
Adjust next choice accordingly, don’t repeat blind spots.
Limit decisions to reduce fatigue
Kahneman suggests that making fewer trivial decisions frees up cognitive power for the ones that matter most.
Use checklists for complex choices
As in aviation or medicine, checklists avoid forgetting key factors when stakes are high.
Trust intuition with experience
Laura Huang argues that intuition is a skill built over time, not random gut feeling.
Use it when it’s grounded in experience.
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